Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000100 0.000118 0.000138 0.000159 0.000183 0.000209 0.000238
2024-12-22 0.000078 0.000102 0.000129 0.000161 0.000198 0.000239 0.000288
2024-12-29 0.000065 0.000092 0.000123 0.000161 0.000206 0.000258 0.000321
2025-01-05 0.000055 0.000082 0.000117 0.000161 0.000215 0.000277 0.000355
2025-01-12 0.000044 0.000072 0.000107 0.000155 0.000214 0.000284 0.000372
2025-01-19 0.000039 0.000067 0.000105 0.000157 0.000224 0.000304 0.000406
2025-01-26 0.000031 0.000058 0.000096 0.000150 0.000221 0.000307 0.000419
2025-02-02 0.000027 0.000055 0.000095 0.000152 0.000229 0.000325 0.000449
2025-02-09 0.000023 0.000050 0.000091 0.000151 0.000232 0.000335 0.000471
2025-02-16 0.000021 0.000049 0.000092 0.000156 0.000244 0.000357 0.000507
2025-02-23 0.000019 0.000046 0.000090 0.000157 0.000251 0.000372 0.000535
2025-03-02 0.000015 0.000041 0.000084 0.000152 0.000249 0.000375 0.000547
2025-03-09 0.000012 0.000036 0.000079 0.000149 0.000251 0.000386 0.000570
2025-03-16 0.000010 0.000033 0.000076 0.000148 0.000255 0.000399 0.000598
2025-03-23 0.000008 0.000031 0.000075 0.000150 0.000263 0.000417 0.000631
2025-03-30 0.000007 0.000028 0.000072 0.000148 0.000266 0.000429 0.000657
2025-04-06 0.000005 0.000024 0.000066 0.000143 0.000264 0.000433 0.000672
2025-04-13 0.000004 0.000023 0.000065 0.000145 0.000272 0.000450 0.000705
2025-04-20 0.000003 0.000019 0.000060 0.000139 0.000268 0.000451 0.000715
2025-04-27 0.000002 0.000018 0.000059 0.000141 0.000275 0.000467 0.000747
2025-05-04 0.000002 0.000016 0.000057 0.000139 0.000278 0.000478 0.000771
2025-05-11 0.000001 0.000016 0.000058 0.000144 0.000290 0.000502 0.000813
2025-05-18 0.000001 0.000015 0.000057 0.000146 0.000296 0.000518 0.000845